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Ituano U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Ituano U20

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

RB Bragantino U20

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.72 for Away, form 1.25 vs 3.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.3%0-29.1%0-310.4%0-4+21.8%1 1-01.1%1-13.9%1-26.6%1-37.6%1-4+15.9%2 2-00.4%2-11.4%2-22.4%2-32.8%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.6%3-30.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.5% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 70.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.9% — — —

Over 3.5 47.5% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 85.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)3.5 BTTS prob53.1%

A 71% / xG 0.7-3.5 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 10.4%

#2 0–2 9.1%

#3 0–4 9.0%

#4 1–3 7.6%

#5 1–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ituano U200.7

RB Bragantino U203.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ITUANO U20 · PPG 1.25

RB BRAGANTINO U20 · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.72 for Away, form 1.25 vs 3.00

Win probability 1X2

Ituano U20 (H) 12.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RB Bragantino U20 (A) 70.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ituano U20 face RB Bragantino U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ituano U20 a 13% chance, the draw 17% and RB Bragantino U20 71%, so RB Bragantino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Ituano U20 and 3.5 for RB Bragantino U20 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ituano U20 are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 3.00 for RB Bragantino U20.

Ituano U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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