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Porto Football U20 vs Flamengo SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Porto Football U20

PPG 0.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Flamengo SP U20

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.4%0-119.6%0-210.5%0-33.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.5%1-112.3%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-03.6%2-13.8%2-22.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.8%3-10.8%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 39.1% — — —

Over 2.5 38.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 35.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob46.7%

D 30% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.4%

#2 0–1 19.6%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–0 11.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Porto Football U200.6

Flamengo SP U201.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTO FOOTBALL U20 · PPG 0.25

FLAMENGO SP U20 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.44, combined xG 1.69 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Porto Football U20 (H) 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Flamengo SP U20 (A) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Porto Football U20 face Flamengo SP U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Porto Football U20 a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Flamengo SP U20 39%, so Flamengo SP U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Porto Football U20 and 1.1 for Flamengo SP U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Porto Football U20 are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.50 for Flamengo SP U20.

Porto Football U20 vs Flamengo SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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