Today / Brazil - Paulista - U20 / Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Mirassol U20

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Itapirense U20

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.71 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.1%0-23.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.1%1-110.9%1-25.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.8%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.4%3-15.9%3-23.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.9%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 35.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.0%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mirassol U201.8

Itapirense U201.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

MIRASSOL U20 · PPG 0.50

ITAPIRENSE U20 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.71 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mirassol U20 (H) 52.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Itapirense U20 (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mirassol U20 face Itapirense U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mirassol U20 a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Itapirense U20 23%, so Mirassol U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Mirassol U20 and 1.1 for Itapirense U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mirassol U20 are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Itapirense U20.

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Paulista - U20 Predictions