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EC São Bernardo U20 vs Oeste U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

EC São Bernardo U20

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oeste U20

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-115.9%0-29.9%0-34.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.3%1-112.9%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.2%2-15.2%2-23.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.4%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.2% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 44.9% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.4%

A 45% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 0–1 15.9%

#4 0–2 9.9%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

EC São Bernardo U200.8

Oeste U201.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EC SÃO BERNARDO U20 · PPG 0.50

OESTE U20 · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.44, combined xG 2.07 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

EC São Bernardo U20 (H) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oeste U20 (A) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

EC São Bernardo U20 face Oeste U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives EC São Bernardo U20 a 26% chance, the draw 29% and Oeste U20 45%, so Oeste U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for EC São Bernardo U20 and 1.3 for Oeste U20 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, EC São Bernardo U20 are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Oeste U20.

EC São Bernardo U20 vs Oeste U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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