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Botafogo SP U20 vs Santo André U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Botafogo SP U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santo André U20

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-19.0%0-25.7%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.8%1-112.4%1-27.8%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-18.5%2-25.4%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.1%3-13.9%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 31.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.7% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 42% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.1%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Botafogo SP U201.4

Santo André U201.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BOTAFOGO SP U20 · PPG 1.00

SANTO ANDRÉ U20 · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Botafogo SP U20 (H) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santo André U20 (A) 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo SP U20 face Santo André U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo SP U20 a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Santo André U20 32%, so Botafogo SP U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Botafogo SP U20 and 1.3 for Santo André U20 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo SP U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Santo André U20.

Botafogo SP U20 vs Santo André U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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