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Osasco Audax U20 vs Referencia U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Osasco Audax U20

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Referencia U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.87 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-17.6%0-22.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.7%1-111.1%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-18.1%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.7%3-14.0%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-12.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.4% — — —

Over 3.5 24.8% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 53% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.7%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 2–0 13.7%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Osasco Audax U201.5

Referencia U200.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 24.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OSASCO AUDAX U20 · PPG 1.25

REFERENCIA U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.87 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Osasco Audax U20 (H) 52.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Referencia U20 (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Osasco Audax U20 face Referencia U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Osasco Audax U20 a 53% chance, the draw 27% and Referencia U20 21%, so Osasco Audax U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Osasco Audax U20 and 0.6 for Referencia U20 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Osasco Audax U20 are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Referencia U20.

Osasco Audax U20 vs Referencia U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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