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Ponte Preta U20 vs Jabaquara U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Ponte Preta U20

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jabaquara U20

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-110.7%0-23.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.1%1-112.0%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.3%2-16.7%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-12.5%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.6% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 34.8% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.5%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 1–0 20.1%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ponte Preta U201.1

Jabaquara U200.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PONTE PRETA U20 · PPG 1.75

JABAQUARA U20 · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ponte Preta U20 (H) 47.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jabaquara U20 (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ponte Preta U20 face Jabaquara U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ponte Preta U20 a 48% chance, the draw 32% and Jabaquara U20 20%, so Ponte Preta U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ponte Preta U20 and 0.6 for Jabaquara U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ponte Preta U20 are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Jabaquara U20.

Ponte Preta U20 vs Jabaquara U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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