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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Group 1 - 33
Estadio Ruta de la Plata· Zamora
Sunday, April 19, 2026
14:00
Zamora
PPG 1.81
1-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
Osasuna B
PPG 0.94
Home· +10.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
67.6%
Odds: 1.64
EV: +10.9%
Draw
22.0%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -24.1%
Away
10.3%
Odds: 5.00
EV: -48.5%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
39.6%
Odds: 2.10
-16.8%
Over 3.5
19.5%
Odds: 3.85
-24.9%
BTTS
33.3%
Odds: 2.00
-33.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✔
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
3-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zamora
1.75
Osasuna B
0.52
Model Suggestion
Home
+10.9%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in GOOD form (1.81), Away POOR (0.94) - Strong consensus