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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 33 Estadio Ruta de la Plata· Zamora Sunday, April 19, 2026 14:00
Zamora logo Zamora PPG 1.81
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Osasuna B logo Osasuna B PPG 0.94
Home· +10.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.6%
Odds: 1.64 EV: +10.9%
Draw 22.0%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -24.1%
Away 10.3%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -48.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.6% Odds: 2.10 -16.8%
Over 3.5 19.5% Odds: 3.85 -24.9%
BTTS 33.3% Odds: 2.00 -33.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Zamora
1.75
Osasuna B
0.52

Model Suggestion

Home +10.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.81), Away POOR (0.94) - Strong consensus

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