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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 33 Estadio de Espiñedo· Ourense Sunday, April 19, 2026 14:00
Arenteiro logo Arenteiro PPG 1.19
0-2 MISS
Merida logo Merida PPG 0.73
Home· +7.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.2%
Odds: 2.33 EV: +7.6%
Draw 25.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -19.7%
Away 27.9%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -19.7%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.10 -0.0%
Over 3.5 25.9% Odds: 3.85 -0.3%
BTTS 51.4% Odds: 1.80 -7.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Arenteiro
1.49
Merida
1.09

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.73)

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