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União Suzano U20 vs América-SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

União Suzano U20

PPG 0.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

América-SP U20

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-110.9%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.6%1-113.2%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.8%2-18.0%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.6%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 26.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.5% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 34.0% — — —

Away O1.5 23.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.6%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.0%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

União Suzano U201.2

América-SP U200.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÃO SUZANO U20 · PPG 0.25

AMÉRICA-SP U20 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.31, combined xG 2.12 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

União Suzano U20 (H) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

América-SP U20 (A) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

União Suzano U20 face América-SP U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives União Suzano U20 a 46% chance, the draw 27% and América-SP U20 27%, so União Suzano U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for União Suzano U20 and 0.9 for América-SP U20 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, União Suzano U20 are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.00 for América-SP U20.

União Suzano U20 vs América-SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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