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União São João U20 vs Bandeirante U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

União São João U20

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bandeirante U20

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.3%0-110.7%0-23.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.6%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.6%2-17.4%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-12.9%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.6% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 39.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.8% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.3%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.6%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

União São João U201.2

Bandeirante U200.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÃO SÃO JOÃO U20 · PPG 0.60

BANDEIRANTE U20 · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.48, combined xG 1.88 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

União São João U20 (H) 47.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bandeirante U20 (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

União São João U20 face Bandeirante U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives União São João U20 a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Bandeirante U20 24%, so União São João U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for União São João U20 and 0.7 for Bandeirante U20 (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, União São João U20 are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.80 for Bandeirante U20.

União São João U20 vs Bandeirante U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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