Today / Brazil - Paulista - U20 / Sfera U20 vs XV de Jaú U20

Sfera U20 vs XV de Jaú U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Sfera U20 logo
Sfera U20
PPG 1.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
XV de Jaú U20 logo
XV de Jaú U20
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.69 for Home, form 1.50 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-11.2%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.7%1-14.0%1-21.2%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.0%2-16.6%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.1%3-17.3%3-22.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-022.9%4+-113.8%4+-24.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 75.0%
Draw 16.6%
Away win 8.4%
Over 2.5 67.2%
Over 3.5 44.3%
BTTS 49.6%
Home O1.5 78.3%
Away O1.5 17.4%

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 55%
ROI -76.5%
Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 70%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)3.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.6%

H 75% / xG 3.3-0.6 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.1%
#2 2–0 11.0%
#3 4–0 10.0%
#4 3–1 7.3%
#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sfera U203.3
XV de Jaú U200.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SFERA U20 · PPG 1.50

XV DE JAÚ U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.69 for Home, form 1.50 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sfera U20 (H) 75.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
XV de Jaú U20 (A) 8.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sfera U20 face XV de Jaú U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sfera U20 a 75% chance, the draw 17% and XV de Jaú U20 8%, so Sfera U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Sfera U20 and 0.6 for XV de Jaú U20 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sfera U20 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for XV de Jaú U20.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org