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Santos U20 vs São Bento U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Santos U20

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

São Bento U20

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.00 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.25 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-12.5%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.6%1-16.2%1-21.5%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.7%2-17.8%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.0%3-16.4%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-014.7%4+-17.3%4+-21.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.8% — — —

Draw 18.1% — — —

Away win 9.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.0%

H 73% / xG 2.5-0.5 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.7%

#2 3–0 13.0%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 4–0 8.1%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santos U202.5

São Bento U200.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTOS U20 · PPG 1.75

SÃO BENTO U20 · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.00 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Santos U20 (H) 72.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

São Bento U20 (A) 9.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Santos U20 face São Bento U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santos U20 a 73% chance, the draw 18% and São Bento U20 9%, so Santos U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Santos U20 and 0.5 for São Bento U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santos U20 are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.25 for São Bento U20.

Santos U20 vs São Bento U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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