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Serbia - Super Liga Sunday, April 19, 2026 14:00 
Backa Topola PPG 1.20 
Napredak PPG 0.27
Serbia - Super Liga Sunday, April 19, 2026 14:00 Backa Topola PPG 1.204-1 MISS
Napredak PPG 0.27Away· +73.8% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 41.0% Odds: 1.62 -33.6%
Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 2.55 -47.7%
BTTS 38.5% Odds: 2.10 -19.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Backa Topola 1.68
Napredak 0.64
Model Suggestion
Home -22.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+73.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+73.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 37 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 41%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -53.7%
Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=62.5%