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XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Velo Clube U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

XV de Piracicaba U20

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Velo Clube U20

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.44 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-14.2%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-020.9%1-17.4%1-21.3%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.7%2-16.7%2-21.2%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.2%3-14.0%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-12.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.6% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 44.9% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.9%

H 69% / xG 1.8-0.4 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.9%

#2 2–0 18.7%

#3 0–0 11.6%

#4 3–0 11.2%

#5 1–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

XV de Piracicaba U201.8

Velo Clube U200.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

XV DE PIRACICABA U20 · PPG 1.75

VELO CLUBE U20 · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.44 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

XV de Piracicaba U20 (H) 68.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Velo Clube U20 (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

XV de Piracicaba U20 face Velo Clube U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives XV de Piracicaba U20 a 69% chance, the draw 23% and Velo Clube U20 9%, so XV de Piracicaba U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for XV de Piracicaba U20 and 0.4 for Velo Clube U20 (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, XV de Piracicaba U20 are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.25 for Velo Clube U20.

XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Velo Clube U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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