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SC Paulinense SP U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

SC Paulinense SP U20

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ibrachina U20

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.71 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-115.1%0-211.4%0-35.7%0-4+3.0%1 1-07.9%1-112.0%1-29.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-03.2%2-14.8%2-23.6%2-31.8%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.8%3-11.3%3-20.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 51.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 50.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 47.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob50.2%

A 51% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 15.1%

#3 0–0 10.0%

#4 0–2 11.4%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Paulinense SP U200.8

Ibrachina U201.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SC PAULINENSE SP U20 · PPG 2.50

IBRACHINA U20 · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.71 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

SC Paulinense SP U20 (H) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ibrachina U20 (A) 51.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Paulinense SP U20 face Ibrachina U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Paulinense SP U20 a 24% chance, the draw 25% and Ibrachina U20 51%, so Ibrachina U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for SC Paulinense SP U20 and 1.5 for Ibrachina U20 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Paulinense SP U20 are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 3.00 for Ibrachina U20.

SC Paulinense SP U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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