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Wiener SC vs Favoritner AC Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 1 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:30

Wiener SC

PPG 1.66 · HOME

UPCOMING

Favoritner AC

PPG 0.97 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.5%0-22.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.1%1-19.4%1-25.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.9%3-16.8%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-15.8%4+-23.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% 61.7% 1.62 -12.2%

Draw 22.3% 23.8% 4.20 -3.8%

Away win 23.6% 25.6% 3.90 -4.8%

Over 2.5 63.6% 71.4% 1.40 -11.0%

Over 3.5 40.2% 50.5% 1.98 -20.4%

BTTS 62.1% 71.4% 1.40 -13.1%

Home O1.5 60.1% 69.9% 1.43 -14.1%

Away O1.5 36.5% 41.7% 2.40 -12.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -35.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC2.1

Favoritner AC1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 1.66

FAVORITNER AC · PPG 0.97

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 54.2%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -12.2%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -3.8%

Favoritner AC (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face Favoritner AC in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Favoritner AC 24%, so Wiener SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Wiener SC and 1.2 for Favoritner AC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 1.66 points per game versus 0.97 for Favoritner AC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.5%.

Wiener SC vs Favoritner AC Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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