NorthEast Utd vs Mohun Bagan Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 9 Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium· Guwahati Sunday, April 19, 2026 14:00

NorthEast Utd PPG 1.00

0-1 HIT CS3

Mohun Bagan PPG 1.00

Away· +21.2% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

NorthEast Utd face Mohun Bagan in India - Indian Super League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NorthEast Utd a 6% chance, the draw 13% and Mohun Bagan 81%, so Mohun Bagan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for NorthEast Utd and 2.7 for Mohun Bagan (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NorthEast Utd are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Mohun Bagan. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 6.4%

Odds: 5.50 EV: -64.8%

Draw 12.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -51.4%

Away 80.8%

Odds: 1.50 EV: +21.2%

Model lean: Away

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 44.6% Odds: 1.80 -19.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-3 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-4 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

NorthEast Utd

0.65

Mohun Bagan

2.72

Model SuggestionAway +21.2% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)