Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud

Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 15 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:30

Union Carl Berner

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Konnerud

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 1.50 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.0%0-21.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.4%1-15.7%1-23.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.2%2-25.4%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.1%3-17.9%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-111.6%4+-27.5%4+-33.3%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.9% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.9% — — —

Over 3.5 47.5% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 38.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.3%

H 64% / xG 2.9-1.3 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 1–1 5.7%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 3–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Carl Berner2.9

Konnerud1.3

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION CARL BERNER · PPG 1.50

KONNERUD · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 1.50 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Union Carl Berner (H) 63.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Konnerud (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Carl Berner face Konnerud in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Carl Berner a 64% chance, the draw 16% and Konnerud 20%, so Union Carl Berner are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Union Carl Berner and 1.3 for Konnerud (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Carl Berner are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Konnerud.

Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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