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Hamburger SV B vs Kickers Emden Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 30 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 14:00

Hamburger SV B

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kickers Emden

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.0%0-24.6%0-32.9%0-4+2.0%1 1-04.8%1-18.8%1-28.1%1-35.0%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.2%2-17.7%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.5%3-14.5%3-24.2%3-32.6%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.0%4+-22.8%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% 46.5% 2.15 -20.0%

Draw 21.9% 28.6% 3.50 -23.4%

Away win 40.9% 36.4% 2.75 +12.5%

Over 2.5 69.9% — — —

Over 3.5 48.7% — — —

BTTS 69.8% 66.7% 1.50 +4.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.8%

A 41% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 1–2 8.1%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hamburger SV B1.8

Kickers Emden1.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMBURGER SV B · PPG 1.50

KICKERS EMDEN · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Hamburger SV B (H) 37.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -20.0%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -23.4%

Kickers Emden (A) 40.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hamburger SV B face Kickers Emden in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hamburger SV B a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Kickers Emden 41%, so Kickers Emden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hamburger SV B and 1.9 for Kickers Emden (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hamburger SV B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.15 for Kickers Emden. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Hamburger SV B vs Kickers Emden Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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