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Nordsjaelland vs Viborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Championship Group · Matchday 27 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 14:00

Nordsjaelland

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Viborg

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 69% chance

Model probability 68.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.3%0-24.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.4%1-19.3%1-28.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.8%3-14.8%3-24.1%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.1%4+-22.7%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.5% 46.5% 2.15 -15.1%

Draw 22.3% 27.4% 3.65 -18.6%

Away win 38.1% 33.3% 3.00 +14.3%

Over 2.5 67.6% 64.5% 1.55 +4.8%

Over 3.5 46.0% 42.6% 2.35 +8.1%

BTTS 68.0% 69.0% 1.45 -1.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob68.0%

H 40% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1✓ 8.2%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nordsjaelland1.8

Viborg1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.6% · O3.5 PROB 46.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NORDSJAELLAND · PPG 1.92

VIBORG · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

69%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away GOOD (1.54)

Win probability 1X2

Nordsjaelland (H) 39.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -15.1%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -18.6%

Viborg (A) 38.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nordsjaelland face Viborg in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nordsjaelland a 40% chance, the draw 22% and Viborg 38%, so Nordsjaelland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Nordsjaelland and 1.7 for Viborg (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nordsjaelland are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.54 for Viborg. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Nordsjaelland vs Viborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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