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Kraft vs Vaajakoski Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 15:30

Kraft

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vaajakoski

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.9%0-20.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-01.8%1-13.1%1-22.6%1-31.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-03.3%2-15.6%2-24.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.0%3-16.7%3-25.6%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-09.2%4+-115.3%4+-212.8%4+-37.1%4+-4+4.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 19.3% — — —

Over 2.5 79.6% — — —

Over 3.5 54.9% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 19%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.5%

H 64% / xG 3.6-1.7 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.7%

#2 4–1 6.0%

#3 3–2 5.6%

#4 2–1 5.6%

#5 4–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kraft3.6

Vaajakoski1.7

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.6% · O3.5 PROB 54.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KRAFT · PPG 1.50

VAAJAKOSKI · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.94 for Home, form 1.50 vs 0.83 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kraft (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vaajakoski (A) 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kraft face Vaajakoski in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kraft a 64% chance, the draw 17% and Vaajakoski 19%, so Kraft are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Kraft and 1.7 for Vaajakoski (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kraft are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.83 for Vaajakoski.

Kraft vs Vaajakoski Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

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