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Kraft vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Kraft

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

JS Hercules

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.7%0-20.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.2%1 1-01.6%1-12.6%1-22.1%1-31.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-03.2%2-15.1%2-24.0%2-32.1%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.5%3-25.2%3-32.8%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-011.0%4+-117.5%4+-213.9%4+-37.4%4+-4+4.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.8% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 18.4% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 60.3% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob70.3%

H 65% / xG 3.9-1.6 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.5%

#2 4–1 6.3%

#3 3–2 5.2%

#4 2–1 5.1%

#5 4–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kraft3.9

JS Hercules1.6

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 60.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KRAFT · PPG 1.29

JS HERCULES · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

xG gap +2.28 for Home, but form 1.29 vs 1.00 doesn't confirm

Win probability 1X2

Kraft (H) 64.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

JS Hercules (A) 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kraft face JS Hercules in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kraft a 65% chance, the draw 17% and JS Hercules 18%, so Kraft are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Kraft and 1.6 for JS Hercules (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kraft are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.00 for JS Hercules.

Kraft vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions