Today / Kazakhstan - 1. Division / Sport Academy Kairat vs Jaiyq

Sport Academy Kairat vs Jaiyq Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Regular Season - 16 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 12:00

Sport Academy Kairat

PPG 2.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jaiyq

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.61 for Home, form 2.75 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-11.3%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.9%1-13.8%1-20.7%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.1%2-15.6%2-21.0%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.8%3-15.5%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-024.2%4+-18.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.7% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 40.8% — — —

BTTS 45.2% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob45.2%

H 76% / xG 3.0-0.3 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.1%

#2 3–0 15.8%

#3 4–0 11.7%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 5–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sport Academy Kairat3.0

Jaiyq0.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORT ACADEMY KAIRAT · PPG 2.75

JAIYQ · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.61 for Home, form 2.75 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sport Academy Kairat (H) 75.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jaiyq (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sport Academy Kairat face Jaiyq in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sport Academy Kairat a 76% chance, the draw 17% and Jaiyq 8%, so Sport Academy Kairat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Sport Academy Kairat and 0.3 for Jaiyq (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sport Academy Kairat are averaging 2.75 points per game versus 1.25 for Jaiyq.

Sport Academy Kairat vs Jaiyq Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Kazakhstan - 1. Division Predictions