Today / Kazakhstan - 1. Division / Yelimay Semey 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat

Yelimay Semey 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 12:00

Yelimay Semey 2

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sport Academy Kairat

PPG 2.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -2.37 for Away, form 0.57 vs 2.71

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-19.0%0-213.1%0-312.8%0-4+19.2%1 1-01.7%1-15.0%1-27.3%1-37.2%1-4+10.7%2 2-00.5%2-11.4%2-22.1%2-32.0%2-4+3.0%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.4% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 70.6% — — —

Over 2.5 65.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 69.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob49.6%

A 71% / xG 0.6-2.9 / O2.5 65% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.1%

#2 0–3 12.8%

#3 0–4 9.4%

#4 0–1 9.0%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yelimay Semey 20.6

Sport Academy Kairat2.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

YELIMAY SEMEY 2 · PPG 0.57

SPORT ACADEMY KAIRAT · PPG 2.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.37 for Away, form 0.57 vs 2.71

Win probability 1X2

Yelimay Semey 2 (H) 12.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sport Academy Kairat (A) 70.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yelimay Semey 2 face Sport Academy Kairat in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yelimay Semey 2 a 12% chance, the draw 17% and Sport Academy Kairat 71%, so Sport Academy Kairat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Yelimay Semey 2 and 2.9 for Sport Academy Kairat (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yelimay Semey 2 are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 2.71 for Sport Academy Kairat.

Yelimay Semey 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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