Today / Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B / Cuniburo vs San Antonio

Cuniburo vs San Antonio Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Regular Season - 19 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 20:30

Cuniburo logo
Cuniburo
PPG 1.89 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
San Antonio logo
San Antonio
PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.04 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-16.4%0-21.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.3%1-110.3%1-22.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.7%2-18.3%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.9%3-14.5%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-12.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.2%
Draw 24.9%
Away win 18.9%
Over 2.5 45.7%
Over 3.5 28.8%
BTTS 48.7%
Home O1.5 49.4%
Away O1.5 17.4%

League track record

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 83%
Score Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.7%

H 56% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.3%
#2 2–0 14.7%
#3 0–0 11.4%
#4 1–1 10.3%
#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cuniburo1.6
San Antonio0.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CUNIBURO · PPG 1.89

SAN ANTONIO · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.04 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cuniburo (H) 56.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
San Antonio (A) 18.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cuniburo face San Antonio in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cuniburo a 56% chance, the draw 25% and San Antonio 19%, so Cuniburo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cuniburo and 0.6 for San Antonio (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cuniburo are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.67 for San Antonio.

PredictVantage

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