Today / Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B / LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo

LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 00:00

LDU Portoviejo

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santo Domingo

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.7%0-112.3%0-23.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.4%1-111.6%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.1%2-15.5%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.2%3-11.7%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% 45.5% 2.20 -0.6%

Draw 31.6% 34.5% 2.90 -8.4%

Away win 23.2% 32.3% 3.10 -16.9%

Over 2.5 33.3% 44.4% 2.25 -25.1%

Over 3.5 13.0% 25.0% 4.00 -28.8%

BTTS 46.4% 54.1% 1.85 -14.2%

Home O1.5 33.8% 39.4% 2.54 -14.1%

Away O1.5 19.1% 32.9% 3.04 -25.2%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.4%

H 45% / xG 0.9-0.5 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.7%

#2 1–0 21.4%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LDU Portoviejo0.9

Santo Domingo0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LDU PORTOVIEJO · PPG 1.88

SANTO DOMINGO · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.40, combined xG 1.48 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

LDU Portoviejo (H) 45.2%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -0.6%

Draw 31.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -8.4%

Santo Domingo (A) 23.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -16.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

LDU Portoviejo face Santo Domingo in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LDU Portoviejo a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Santo Domingo 23%, so LDU Portoviejo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for LDU Portoviejo and 0.5 for Santo Domingo (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LDU Portoviejo are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.50 for Santo Domingo.

LDU Portoviejo vs Santo Domingo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B Predictions