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Rayo Zuliano vs Anzoátegui FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 19:30

Rayo Zuliano

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Anzoátegui FC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.3%0-23.9%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.6%1-19.8%1-27.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.8%3-15.6%3-24.1%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.9%4+-22.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 41.0% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 45.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 7.8%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rayo Zuliano1.9

Anzoátegui FC1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RAYO ZULIANO · PPG 1.17

ANZOÁTEGUI FC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rayo Zuliano (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Anzoátegui FC (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rayo Zuliano face Anzoátegui FC in Venezuela - Primera División on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rayo Zuliano a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Anzoátegui FC 29%, so Rayo Zuliano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rayo Zuliano and 1.5 for Anzoátegui FC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rayo Zuliano are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.00 for Anzoátegui FC.

Rayo Zuliano vs Anzoátegui FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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