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Deportivo Tachira FC vs Portuguesa FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 2 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 22:30

Deportivo Tachira FC

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Portuguesa FC

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-19.7%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.9%1-112.8%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-18.5%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.4%3-13.7%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 49.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 50.3% — — —

Home O1.5 37.4% — — —

Away O1.5 21.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 66%

ROI 4.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.3%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 11.3%

#3 1–0 14.9%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Tachira FC1.3

Portuguesa FC0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO TACHIRA FC · PPG 2.00

PORTUGUESA FC · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Tachira FC (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Portuguesa FC (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Tachira FC face Portuguesa FC in Venezuela - Primera División on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Tachira FC a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Portuguesa FC 24%, so Deportivo Tachira FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportivo Tachira FC and 0.9 for Portuguesa FC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Tachira FC are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.11 for Portuguesa FC.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Portuguesa FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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