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Metropolitanos FC vs Puerto Cabello Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 22:30

Metropolitanos FC

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Puerto Cabello

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-19.5%0-23.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.7%1-112.7%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.5%2-18.4%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.7%3-13.7%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 26.2% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 49.1% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 70%

ROI 17.3%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.1%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 15.7%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 2–0 10.5%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Metropolitanos FC1.3

Puerto Cabello0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

METROPOLITANOS FC · PPG 1.80

PUERTO CABELLO · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Metropolitanos FC (H) 46.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Puerto Cabello (A) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Metropolitanos FC face Puerto Cabello in Venezuela - Primera División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Metropolitanos FC a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Puerto Cabello 26%, so Metropolitanos FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Metropolitanos FC and 0.8 for Puerto Cabello (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Metropolitanos FC are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.91 for Puerto Cabello.

Metropolitanos FC vs Puerto Cabello Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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