Today / Venezuela - Primera División / Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC

Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 22:30

Puerto Cabello

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Caracas FC

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.8%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.6%1-111.5%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.6%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.9%3-15.4%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 49.1% — — —

Away O1.5 24.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 7.8%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 52% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Cabello1.7

Caracas FC0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO CABELLO · PPG 1.89

CARACAS FC · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Cabello (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Caracas FC (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Cabello face Caracas FC in Venezuela - Primera División on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Cabello a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Caracas FC 23%, so Puerto Cabello are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Puerto Cabello and 0.9 for Caracas FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Cabello are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.83 for Caracas FC.

Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Venezuela - Primera División Predictions