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Dinamo Samarqand vs Kokand-1912 Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 14 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 15:00

Dinamo Samarqand

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kokand-1912

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.6%0-22.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.6%1-19.6%1-25.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.9%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.1%3-16.8%3-23.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-15.7%4+-23.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 75%

ROI 45.8%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.0%

H 56% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Samarqand2.1

Kokand-19121.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO SAMARQAND · PPG 1.33

KOKAND-1912 · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Samarqand (H) 56.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kokand-1912 (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Samarqand face Kokand-1912 in Uzbekistan - Super League on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Samarqand a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Kokand-1912 22%, so Dinamo Samarqand are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Dinamo Samarqand and 1.1 for Kokand-1912 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Samarqand are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.43 for Kokand-1912.

Dinamo Samarqand vs Kokand-1912 Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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