Today / Uzbekistan - Super League / Andijan vs Pakhtakor

Andijan vs Pakhtakor Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:30

Andijan

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Pakhtakor

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-19.7%0-26.8%0-33.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.8%1-112.3%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.6%2-17.8%2-25.5%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.3%3-13.3%3-22.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 52.3% — — —

Over 3.5 29.9% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.5% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 75%

ROI 16.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

A 35% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 6.9%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 0–1 9.7%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Andijan1.3

Pakhtakor1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.71

PAKHTAKOR · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Andijan (H) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pakhtakor (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Andijan face Pakhtakor in Uzbekistan - Super League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Andijan a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Pakhtakor 35%, so Andijan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Andijan and 1.4 for Pakhtakor (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Andijan are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 2.67 for Pakhtakor.

Andijan vs Pakhtakor Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Uzbekistan - Super League Predictions