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Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:30

Qizilqum

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bunyodkor

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-116.8%0-29.3%0-33.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.8%1-113.1%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.6%2-15.1%2-22.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.2%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% — — —

Draw 31.6% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 20.3% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 75%

ROI 16.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.7%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.1%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–1 16.8%

#4 1–0 11.8%

#5 0–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qizilqum0.8

Bunyodkor1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.3%

Form & verdict PPG

QIZILQUM · PPG 1.00

BUNYODKOR · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.33, combined xG 1.89 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Qizilqum (H) 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bunyodkor (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Qizilqum face Bunyodkor in Uzbekistan - Super League on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qizilqum a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Bunyodkor 37%, so Bunyodkor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Qizilqum and 1.1 for Bunyodkor (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qizilqum are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.86 for Bunyodkor.

Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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