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Navbahor vs Xorazm Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:30

Navbahor

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Xorazm

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-19.3%0-23.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.5%1-112.1%1-23.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.9%2-17.8%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.1%3-13.4%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 75%

ROI 16.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.5%

#2 0–0 14.3%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Navbahor1.3

Xorazm0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NAVBAHOR · PPG 1.33

XORAZM · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Navbahor (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Xorazm (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Navbahor face Xorazm in Uzbekistan - Super League on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Navbahor a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Xorazm 22%, so Navbahor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Navbahor and 0.7 for Xorazm (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Navbahor are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.86 for Xorazm.

Navbahor vs Xorazm Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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