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Khan Tengri vs Turan Turkistan Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Regular Season - 16 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 14:00

Khan Tengri

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Turan Turkistan

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.86 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-111.5%0-210.4%0-36.3%0-4+4.3%1 1-06.0%1-110.9%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-02.8%2-15.1%2-24.6%2-32.8%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.6%3-21.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 55.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob52.6%

A 55% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 0–2 10.4%

#3 0–1 11.5%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Khan Tengri0.9

Turan Turkistan1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KHAN TENGRI · PPG 1.62

TURAN TURKISTAN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.86 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Khan Tengri (H) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Turan Turkistan (A) 55.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Khan Tengri face Turan Turkistan in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Khan Tengri a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Turan Turkistan 55%, so Turan Turkistan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Khan Tengri and 1.8 for Turan Turkistan (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Khan Tengri are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 2.00 for Turan Turkistan.

Khan Tengri vs Turan Turkistan Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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