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Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 00:15

Tigre

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Belgrano Cordoba

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-111.2%0-25.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-113.2%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.8%2-17.8%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.1%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% 40.0% 2.50 +5.0%

Draw 28.3% 36.2% 2.76 -13.1%

Away win 29.7% 30.8% 3.25 -2.1%

Over 2.5 44.5% 33.3% 3.00 +33.5%

Over 3.5 23.3% 16.0% 6.25 +27.4%

BTTS 48.7% 43.5% 2.30 +12.0%

Home O1.5 32.2% 31.3% 3.20 +3.0%

Away O1.5 23.9% 25.6% 3.90 -4.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 71 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -9.8%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.7%

H 42% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 14.9%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tigre1.2

Belgrano Cordoba0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TIGRE · PPG 1.62

BELGRANO CORDOBA · PPG 1.73

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.29, combined xG 2.07 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tigre (H) 42.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +5.0%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 2.76 · IMPLIED 36.2% EV -13.1%

Belgrano Cordoba (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tigre face Belgrano Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tigre a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Belgrano Cordoba 30%, so Tigre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tigre and 0.9 for Belgrano Cordoba (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tigre are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.73 for Belgrano Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +34.3%.

Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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