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Platense vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 22:00

Platense

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Talleres Cordoba

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-115.6%0-26.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.0%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.7%2-15.5%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.9%3-11.5%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% 38.5% 2.60 -3.0%

Draw 32.1% 35.2% 2.84 -8.8%

Away win 30.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.2%

Over 2.5 33.6% 33.9% 2.95 -0.9%

Over 3.5 17.1% 16.0% 6.25 +4.1%

BTTS 45.4% 44.4% 2.25 +2.1%

Home O1.5 32.6% 31.3% 3.20 +4.3%

Away O1.5 20.3% 27.4% 3.65 -15.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -8.4%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.4%

D 32% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.0%

#4 0–1 15.6%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Platense0.8

Talleres Cordoba0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PLATENSE · PPG 1.00

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.30

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 1.66 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Platense (H) 37.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -3.0%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.84 · IMPLIED 35.2% EV -8.8%

Talleres Cordoba (A) 30.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Platense face Talleres Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Platense a 37% chance, the draw 32% and Talleres Cordoba 31%, so Platense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Platense and 0.8 for Talleres Cordoba (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Platense are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.30 for Talleres Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +4.3%.

Platense vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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