Hradec Kralove vs Slavia Prague Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Czech-Republic - Czech Liga Regular Season - 30 Malsovicka arena· Hradec Kralove Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:30

Hradec Kralove PPG 1.79

2-1 MISS

Slavia Prague PPG 2.29

Home· -6.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hradec Kralove face Slavia Prague in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hradec Kralove a 21% chance, the draw 24% and Slavia Prague 55%, so Slavia Prague are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Hradec Kralove and 1.7 for Slavia Prague (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hradec Kralove are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 2.29 for Slavia Prague. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.5%

Odds: 4.55 EV: -6.7%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -11.3%

Away 55.3%

Odds: 1.68 EV: -7.1%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.7% Odds: 1.83 -12.7%

Over 3.5 26.0% Odds: 3.00 -22.0%

BTTS 48.5% Odds: 1.73 -16.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hradec Kralove

0.91

Slavia Prague

1.67

Model SuggestionAway -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.79) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.29)