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Kuchl vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 25 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:30

Kuchl

PPG 1.91 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Reichenau

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.0%0-21.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.7%1-17.4%1-24.8%1-32.1%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.0%2-19.1%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.5%3-24.9%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-18.4%4+-25.5%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.0% 66.7% 1.50 -5.5%

Draw 18.2% 25.0% 4.00 -27.2%

Away win 18.8% 20.0% 5.00 -6.0%

Over 2.5 72.8% 66.7% 1.50 +9.2%

Over 3.5 52.2% — — —

BTTS 66.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob66.8%

H 63% / xG 2.5-1.3 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 3–1 7.5%

#3 1–1 7.4%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kuchl2.5

Reichenau1.3

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.8% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KUCHL · PPG 1.91

REICHENAU · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.91) vs P(Home)=63.0%

Win probability 1X2

Kuchl (H) 63.0%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -5.5%

Draw 18.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -27.2%

Reichenau (A) 18.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kuchl face Reichenau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kuchl a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Reichenau 19%, so Kuchl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Kuchl and 1.3 for Reichenau (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kuchl are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 0.91 for Reichenau. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Kuchl vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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