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Juventud de Bernal vs Atletico Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:30

Juventud de Bernal

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico Pilar

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-111.8%0-28.0%0-33.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.4%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.1%2-16.9%2-24.7%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.8%3-12.5%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.1% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 44.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 35.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventud de Bernal1.1

Atletico Pilar1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUD DE BERNAL · PPG 0.00

ATLETICO PILAR · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Juventud de Bernal (H) 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico Pilar (A) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventud de Bernal face Atletico Pilar in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventud de Bernal a 30% chance, the draw 25% and Atletico Pilar 45%, so Atletico Pilar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Juventud de Bernal and 1.4 for Atletico Pilar (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventud de Bernal are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Atletico Pilar.

Juventud de Bernal vs Atletico Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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