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SAT Moreno vs Nautico Hacoaj Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:30

SAT Moreno

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nautico Hacoaj

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.5%0-110.5%0-21.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-025.3%1-19.3%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.2%2-14.1%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.3%3-11.2%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 33.6% — — —

Over 3.5 18.3% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.5%

H 48% / xG 0.9-0.4 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.5%

#2 1–0 25.3%

#3 2–0 11.2%

#4 1–1 9.3%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SAT Moreno0.9

Nautico Hacoaj0.4

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SAT MORENO · PPG 3.00

NAUTICO HACOAJ · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SAT Moreno (H) 48.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nautico Hacoaj (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SAT Moreno face Nautico Hacoaj in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SAT Moreno a 48% chance, the draw 30% and Nautico Hacoaj 21%, so SAT Moreno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for SAT Moreno and 0.4 for Nautico Hacoaj (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SAT Moreno are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Nautico Hacoaj.

SAT Moreno vs Nautico Hacoaj Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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