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Ind. Yumbo vs Envigado Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura · Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 20:30

Ind. Yumbo

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Envigado

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-114.3%0-28.4%0-33.3%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.2%2-16.2%2-23.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.6%3-11.9%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% — — —

Draw 28.8% — — —

Away win 40.1% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 0–1 14.3%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ind. Yumbo0.9

Envigado1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IND. YUMBO · PPG 1.38

ENVIGADO · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.25, combined xG 2.11 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ind. Yumbo (H) 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Envigado (A) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ind. Yumbo face Envigado in Colombia - Primera B on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ind. Yumbo a 31% chance, the draw 29% and Envigado 40%, so Envigado are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ind. Yumbo and 1.2 for Envigado (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ind. Yumbo are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 2.08 for Envigado.

Ind. Yumbo vs Envigado Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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