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Internacional Palmira vs Bogota FC Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 22:00

Internacional Palmira

PPG 2.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bogota FC

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-18.8%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.6%1-112.0%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.0%2-18.2%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-13.7%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 28.3% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.6%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.6%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 12.0%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional Palmira1.4

Bogota FC0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA · PPG 2.10

BOGOTA FC · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Internacional Palmira (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bogota FC (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional Palmira face Bogota FC in Colombia - Primera B on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional Palmira a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Bogota FC 22%, so Internacional Palmira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Internacional Palmira and 0.7 for Bogota FC (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional Palmira are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.40 for Bogota FC.

Internacional Palmira vs Bogota FC Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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