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Barranquilla vs Depor FC Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 22:00

Barranquilla

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Depor FC

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.89 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-16.2%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.6%1-111.0%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.1%2-19.7%2-24.3%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.6%3-15.7%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 52.4% — — —

Over 3.5 29.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 23.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 54% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–0 11.1%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Barranquilla1.8

Depor FC0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 29.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BARRANQUILLA · PPG 1.36

DEPOR FC · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.89 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Barranquilla (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Depor FC (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Barranquilla face Depor FC in Colombia - Primera B on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barranquilla a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Depor FC 22%, so Barranquilla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Barranquilla and 0.9 for Depor FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barranquilla are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.71 for Depor FC.

Barranquilla vs Depor FC Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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