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Chrobry Głogów vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 17:00

Chrobry Głogów

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Odra Opole

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.2% vs bookmaker-implied 46.5% — a clear edge.

+23.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-14.8%0-22.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.8%1-19.7%1-24.0%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.9%2-19.8%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-16.6%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-15.3%4+-22.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% 46.5% 2.15 +23.0%

Draw 21.7% 33.3% 3.00 -20.9%

Away win 21.1% 32.3% 3.10 -20.8%

Over 2.5 53.4% 46.5% 2.15 +14.8%

Over 3.5 32.5% 26.7% 3.75 +21.9%

BTTS 52.6% 54.1% 1.85 -2.7%

Home O1.5 53.6% 42.0% 2.38 +27.6%

Away O1.5 20.3% 30.8% 3.25 -20.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 57% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.9%

#2 1–1 9.7%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chrobry Głogów2.0

Odra Opole0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CHROBRY GŁOGÓW · PPG 1.64

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 1.21

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Chrobry Głogów (H) 57.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +23.0%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -20.9%

Odra Opole (A) 21.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chrobry Głogów face Odra Opole in Poland - I Liga on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chrobry Głogów a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Odra Opole 21%, so Chrobry Głogów are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Chrobry Głogów and 0.8 for Odra Opole (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chrobry Głogów are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.21 for Odra Opole. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +53.2%.

Chrobry Głogów vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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