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Djerv vs Åsane II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 16:00

Djerv

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Åsane II

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.0%0-21.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.1%1-17.4%1-24.5%1-31.8%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.6%2-19.3%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.3%3-17.7%3-24.7%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-18.7%4+-25.3%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.9% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.9% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 24%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.5%

H 58% / xG 2.5-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 3–1 7.7%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 3–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Djerv2.5

Åsane II1.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DJERV · PPG 1.83

ÅSANE II · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Djerv (H) 57.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Åsane II (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Djerv face Åsane II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Djerv a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Åsane II 21%, so Djerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Djerv and 1.2 for Åsane II (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Djerv are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.43 for Åsane II.

Djerv vs Åsane II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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