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Gneist vs Brann II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 15:00

Gneist

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brann II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.9%0-22.5%0-32.2%0-4+2.7%1 1-01.7%1-14.4%1-25.7%1-35.0%1-4+6.2%2 2-01.9%2-15.0%2-26.6%2-35.8%2-4+7.1%3 3-01.5%3-13.9%3-25.1%3-34.4%3-4+5.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.8%4+-25.0%4+-34.4%4+-4+5.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 41.3% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 54.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob69.5%

A 41% / xG 2.3-2.6 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.6%

#2 2–3 5.8%

#3 1–2 5.7%

#4 3–2 5.1%

#5 2–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gneist2.3

Brann II2.6

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GNEIST · PPG 1.00

BRANN II · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gneist (H) 38.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brann II (A) 41.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gneist face Brann II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gneist a 38% chance, the draw 20% and Brann II 41%, so Brann II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Gneist and 2.6 for Brann II (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gneist are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Brann II.

Gneist vs Brann II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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