Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 / Askøy vs Fyllingsdalen

Askøy vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:00

Askøy logo
Askøy
PPG 2.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Fyllingsdalen logo
Fyllingsdalen
PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.09 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-12.2%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.6%1-16.0%1-21.9%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-18.2%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.8%3-17.4%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-015.4%4+-19.7%4+-23.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 72.8%
Draw 18.0%
Away win 9.2%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 40.6%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5 64.0%
Away O1.5 17.5%

League track record

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%
O2.5 89%
BTTS 78%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 57%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 73% / xG 2.7-0.6 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.1%
#2 3–0 11.8%
#3 1–0 9.6%
#4 2–1 8.2%
#5 4–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Askøy2.7
Fyllingsdalen0.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ASKØY · PPG 2.33

FYLLINGSDALEN · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.09 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Askøy (H) 72.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Fyllingsdalen (A) 9.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Askøy face Fyllingsdalen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Askøy a 73% chance, the draw 18% and Fyllingsdalen 9%, so Askøy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Askøy and 0.6 for Fyllingsdalen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Askøy are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.17 for Fyllingsdalen.

PredictVantage

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