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Austevoll vs Os Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:00

Austevoll

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.4%0-22.0%0-32.0%0-4+3.2%1 1-01.1%1-13.2%1-24.9%1-34.9%1-4+7.8%2 2-01.3%2-13.9%2-25.8%2-35.9%2-4+9.3%3 3-01.0%3-13.1%3-24.7%3-34.7%3-4+7.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-13.3%4+-24.9%4+-34.9%4+-4+7.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% — — —

Draw 17.9% — — —

Away win 42.5% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 60.3% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 70.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 89%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob70.3%

A 42% / xG 2.4-3.0 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 5.9%

#2 2–2 5.8%

#3 1–3 4.9%

#4 1–2 4.9%

#5 3–3 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austevoll2.4

Os3.0

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 60.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTEVOLL · PPG 1.33

OS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.62 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Austevoll (H) 39.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Os (A) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austevoll face Os in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austevoll a 40% chance, the draw 18% and Os 43%, so Os are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Austevoll and 3.0 for Os (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austevoll are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Os.

Austevoll vs Os Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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